Tanner Lux

Tanner Lux

Prediction Markets Expert

Tanner Lux is a former political campaign organizer and writer covering prediction markets, with a focus on exchange mechanics, market news, and industry developments. Alongside his writing, Tanner builds tools and data visualizations to track market activity, including custom charting systems and monitoring tools for anomalies across contracts. His work focuses on making prediction markets more transparent and easier to understand for everyday users.

Tanner Lux Popular Stories

Kalshi Midterms market lead image
Prediction Markets News Why 83% × 44% = 44% in Kalshi's Midterm Markets

Kalshi’s midterm markets offer a useful lesson in correlation, and in why an apparent pricing inconsistency is not automatically an arbitrage opportunity. On July 24, Kalshi traders gave Democrats an 83% chance of winning the House and a 44%...

3 min read